Daily Fantasy Football Beginners’ Camp: Choosing a Captain
In every tournament you’ll build your team around a single player.
- Match Odds – who is the favourite and how many goals are expected?
- Who is likely to score these goals (with what probability)?
- What is the likelihood of a team keeping a clean sheet?
The game day and the captain’s position
Many expected goals
In these situations, there is usually a player who has by far the highest scoring potential (generally the top attacker in the favourite team). Remember that many of your competitors will choose this player for their captain here.
Few expected goals
If few goals are expected in any of the fixtures, then defenders who have a good chance of keeping a clean sheet are usually good captains. Ideally you want to choose a defender who can also score or assist. Full-backs are usually preferable to central defenders (central defenders who are good in the air are an exception to this). Set pieces from corners and penalties can also improve your chances.
The most promising teams for your captain
An example from the final day of the English Premier League illustrates the correct procedure. Since many goals were expected on this game day, an offensive player was the right choice for captain. Third-placed Arsenal played to bottom-placed club Aston Villa, who boast a disastrous away track record. While Aston Villa was already relegated, a victory for Arsenal held out the possibility of them moving into second place. Many bookmakers were therefore agreed that Arsenal had the best chance of a big win. In addition, Arsenal had a 55% chance of keeping a clean sheet and thus earning the attractive clean sheet bonus.
The Arsenal attackers Oliver Giroud (FWD) and Alexis Sanchez (MID) consistently offered the highest odds of scoring a goal. With Oliver Giroud this was 58%, whereas with Alexis Sanchez it was 54%. According to the bookmakers, only Sergio was able to be placed between Arsenal’s two offensive players. Aguero offered a 57% probability of scoring. All the other strikers playing on that day had a far lower probability of scoring at below 45%. It’s not just goals which bring points, but goals are worth the most points. One of the three aforementioned players is, therefore, by far the most obvious option for the choice of captain. After making this initial selection based on the situation in the tournament, the detailed analysis of your options is as follows.
The detailed player check
After you have already selected some favorites, it is now in the single check about selecting the best captain. Below you will find some factors that will help you in choosing your captain.
Players to analyze
- Penalty taker
- Alternative injured – probably 90 minutes of play
- Confidence since he only recently scored
- Strong in the air
● Mixed season with many dips in form
Most players quite rightly made Oliver Giroud their choice, because he offered the best overall package this weekend. He was the most likely scorer with the most projected goals. With three goals he rewarded those who placed their trust in him.
- Match-day analysis is the basis for selecting a good captain
- Look for the games with the highest points potential
- Look for the players with the best odds
- Analyse the favourites individually